Chances of getting 189/190 visa with 80+5 point for a software engineer

Hi, I would like to know what are the chances of getting PR under 189 visa with 80 points or under 190 visa with 85 points for a software engineer.

If you’re lucky and meet their selection criteria (unknown), you would get it from Victoria. I’ve seen invitations for Software Engineer last month with 75+5 points too. At the same time, applicants are waiting with 100+ points.